{"id":2069,"date":"2025-11-18T12:27:04","date_gmt":"2025-11-18T09:27:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/?p=2069"},"modified":"2025-11-18T12:27:04","modified_gmt":"2025-11-18T09:27:04","slug":"finans-devinden-carpici-enflasyon-tahmini-turkiyede-2026-yilinda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/?p=2069","title":{"rendered":"Finans devinden \u00e7arp\u0131c\u0131 enflasyon tahmini! T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Morgan Stanley ekonomistleri, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n (TCMB) s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini ve politika faizini kademeli olarak 2026 sonuna kadar y\u00fczde 27&#8217;ye, 2027 sonuna kadar da y\u00fczde 21&#8217;e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Georgi Deyanov ve Andrea Masia&#8217;n\u0131n da aralar\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu ekonomistler, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n kararlar\u0131 toplant\u0131 baz\u0131nda almaya devam edece\u011fini, verilerdeki, finansal ko\u015fullardaki ve risk alg\u0131s\u0131ndaki s\u00fcrprizlere tepki verme konusunda opsiyonellik b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/abdli-dev-bankadan-tcmb-icin-faiz-tahmini-yil-sonuna-kadar-yuzde-36ya-dusmesi-bekleniyor-7jti_cover.jpg\" style=\"width:100%;height:auto\" loading=\"lazy\"><\/p>\n<h3><span>ARALIK AYINDA 100 BAZ PUAN \u0130ND\u0130R\u0130M BEKLEN\u0130YOR<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Kurum, TCMB&#8217;nin aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda politika faizini 100 baz puan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek y\u00fczde 38,50&#8217;ye \u00e7ekmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda, &#8220;Enflasyondaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n 1. \u00e7eyrekte artmas\u0131yla birlikte, Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n 2026 sonuna kadar faiz indirim h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 toplant\u0131 baz\u0131nda 150 baz puana \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131 i\u00e7in alan g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ancak 2026 sonunda tekrar 100 baz puana yava\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz&#8221; ifadeleri yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley, enflasyonun gelecek y\u0131l sonunda y\u00fczde 21, 2027&#8217;de ise y\u00fczde 17 seviyesinde olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. Ekonomistlere g\u00f6re, artan b\u00fcy\u00fcme ivmesi nedeniyle enflasyondaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcreci 2027&#8217;de yava\u015flayacak, ancak enflasyonun genel olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filiminde kalmas\u0131 muhtemel.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>K\u00fcresel finans devi Morgan Stanley, 2026 y\u0131l sonunda politika faizinin \u015fu anki y\u00fczde 39,5 seviyesinden y\u00fczde 27&#8217;ye kadar gerilemesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2070,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[7,2205,2206,224],"class_list":["post-2069","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-guncel","tag-ekonomi","tag-faiz","tag-morgan-stanley","tag-tcmb"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2069","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2069"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2069\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2070"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2069"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2069"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.habereditoru.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2069"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}